Investment Commentary

May 2020

Risk assets recouped some of their losses in April on signs that the Covid-19 infection rate was levelling off. There were also signs that monetary and fiscal policies were beginning to have an impact, with the global economy beginning to gradually reopen. Global...

February 2020

Although stock markets started 2020 in a euphoric mood with Phase 1 of the US-China trade deal and signs of economic stability in the eurozone and China boosting the outlook for global growth, any improvement is now likely to be delayed by coronavirus. Given the...

January 2020

Global shares returned 3% in December and 9% over the final quarter although this was largely eroded by an 8% rise in sterling to $1.33 for UK-based investors. While the decisive Conservative election victory helped the FTSE 100 gain 196 points last month to 7,542,...

December 2019

Monthly market commentary – December 2019 Risk assets continued to perform well in November and – having largely recovered from the late summer setback – are on track to record strong gains this year. The combination of supportive financial conditions, renewed central...

November 2019

The possibility of a phased US/China trade deal, a third 0.25% cut in US interest rates and solid third quarter corporate results improved stock market sentiment in October and bond yields rebounded from multi-year lows. Wall Street rose 2% and pushed into new high...

September 2019

Markets have been dominated by trade tensions between the US and China, weakening global growth and expectations of interest rate cuts. Investor demand for safe haven assets resulted in a further fall in bond yields, with long-term US bond yields dipping below...

August 2019

Central banks are easing monetary policy once again. Bond investors see this as pre-emptive action ahead of a global economic slowdown, perhaps even recession, whereas equity investors anticipate this will fuel a pick-up in corporate profitability by boosting GDP...

July 2019

Signs of a breakthrough on the US/China trade impasse and expectations for lower interest rates resulted in many equity markets ending the second quarter at or near all-time highs. Wall Street led the way with a rise of almost 4% followed by the eurozone and Japan....

JUNE 2019

After the strong start to the year, renewed trade tensions and weaker manufacturing data saw profit-taking in May as investors adopted a more cautious stance. The FTSE 100 fell 257 (3%) to 7,161 while Europe ex UK was down 5% in local currency terms, Wall Street 6%...

MAY 2019

Major stock markets gained between 2% and 4% in April. Better than expected economic news and first quarter corporate results helped Wall Street to a new all-time high. Returns for sterling-based investors were boosted by the dollar strengthening to $1.29 as the...